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2024-12-13 12:32:55

Market news: Australia will punish technology giants who don't pay for news.CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.OPENAI said that it is working hard to solve the current fault problem.


The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.South Korea's Seoul Composite Index rose to 1%.Australia's unemployment rate in November was 3.93%, which is estimated to be 4.2%.


Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.Canadian Finance Minister: Several governors urged the government to make a strong response to Trump's tariff threat.The strategy of Guojun Junan Household Appliances in 2025: The subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and the leading enterprises with leading layout will continue to be optimistic about going out to sea. Guotai Junan said that in 2024, the domestic sales category will be divided and the overall export will be stable. The household appliance industry presents four key words: looking at the sky/involution/multi-point flowering/continuous going out to sea. Looking forward to 2025: look forward to the domestic demand policy and continue to be optimistic about the sea leader. Subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and we will continue to be optimistic about leading enterprises with leading layout. Be optimistic about the leading enterprises and pay attention to three main lines: 1) Continue to be optimistic about the leading enterprises under the logic blessing of trade-in and going out to sea; 2) For industries with pure domestic demand, pay attention to the turning point of enterprises; 3) Pay moderate attention to the fermentation of potential themes, such as AI+ intelligence and the reform of state-owned enterprises, and the growth of mergers and acquisitions.

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